Still, there is some strong evidence against it for now.
I am talking about the 5 day ema of the total put/call ratio, which hasn't spiked despite the relentless rise up to 1380.
I checked back into the history of the bull since 2009 and I could not find another similar instance that would lead to a greater correction except for intermediary term tops, a scenario that is ruled out for now.
The second piece of evidence against a greater correction is the way the daily chart looks. It has not had a period of acceleration into the top, which usually precedes greater corrections.
ES March contract daily chart starting in January |
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