Friday, April 27, 2012

Still weak

The chart above is that of a 3 day ema of TRIN. I call it short term TRIN.

Notice the fact that this indicator did not spike beyond 1 as it previously did on rallies. I take this as a sign of weakness.

Meanwhile, the total put/call ratio is acting like the market is not ready to fall - yesterday it spiked towards oversold despite the strength in the market.



Maybe there are some bears that have not capitulated yet (as I did yesterday) but who are ready to exit on a pull back at the open.

This is just a conjecture. It might be something else but the effect is the same - the market shows some strength first when the ratio acts this way.

No comments: